Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.190619 2.512594 2.868090 3.290144 3.778141 4.325347 4.986458
2025-06-08 1.709088 2.142554 2.667524 3.352119 4.224331 5.302440 6.742356
2025-06-15 1.430245 1.903452 2.513472 3.361494 4.516325 6.043284 8.230655
2025-06-22 1.210997 1.690881 2.341390 3.293768 4.663032 6.576344 9.480320
2025-06-29 1.055795 1.536176 2.216138 3.257267 4.826454 7.127552 10.802235
2025-07-06 0.925162 1.395805 2.087883 3.190499 4.923624 7.577172 12.012757
2025-07-13 0.879257 1.372996 2.125865 3.371715 5.410454 8.664324 14.349244
2025-07-20 0.801548 1.290549 2.060692 3.379125 5.616071 9.322476 16.062489
2025-07-27 0.755243 1.251940 2.058689 3.485387 5.991538 10.296526 18.434272
2025-08-03 0.695637 1.184212 2.000456 3.487622 6.184832 10.974991 20.361103
2025-08-10 0.639398 1.115876 1.933199 3.464618 6.326989 11.573080 22.208988
2025-08-17 0.583753 1.042669 1.849517 3.401498 6.385539 12.019335 23.815480
2025-08-24 0.546842 1.004101 1.832033 3.475372 6.744220 13.140206 27.064433
2025-08-31 0.511171 0.964938 1.811162 3.544766 7.113523 14.353855 30.754173
2025-09-07 0.472562 0.915287 1.763912 3.554528 7.361025 15.351063 34.140092
2025-09-14 0.429454 0.851767 1.682084 3.482709 7.426626 15.972243 36.785150
2025-09-21 0.394822 0.801240 1.620190 3.443999 7.556625 16.748410 39.917981
2025-09-28 0.360964 0.748532 1.547822 3.373195 7.604578 17.345007 42.717123
2025-10-05 0.353959 0.751435 1.592100 3.565377 8.279871 19.489454 49.763587
2025-10-12 0.331867 0.719341 1.557410 3.573235 8.520970 20.630994 54.416986
2025-10-19 0.319844 0.708102 1.567240 3.685944 9.031726 22.511168 61.398119
2025-10-26 0.300699 0.678735 1.532931 3.688315 9.266749 23.724922 66.750683
2025-11-02 0.281418 0.647060 1.489920 3.663914 9.429577 24.773641 71.825110